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Will Ukraine begin the breakup of the Russian Federation?

19th August 2019 | Reading Time: 5 minutes   110 Views
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Ukraine is firmly under the US sphere of influence. After the violent protests in Kiev’s Maidan in 2014, when Ukraine’s president Victor Yanukovich was ousted, Russia completely lost control over the former Soviet republic and a very important geopolitical spot.

Moscow tried to compensate the loss of Kiev by annexing Crimea. However, from the political and military perspective, such move cannot be interpreted as Russian victory. Russians already had their own military bases and troops stationed in Crimea, where the majority of population are ethnic Russians. In the winter of 2014, when it became obvious that Ukraine is lost, Russia simply had to do something in order to save its reputation at least as a regional power. It decided to annex Crimea and later to create two proxy states in the Donbass called the Donetsk People’s Republic and the Lugansk People’s Republic. The same year, during the post-Maidan chaos in destabilized Ukraine, Russia had an opportunity to capture a huge area in the southeast of the country, that was historically called Novorossiya, and that is inhabited by the Russian speaking population. Had Russia seized the seven southeastern Ukrainian regions, and not just Crimea, Ukraine would’ve remained a landlocked country without any military and industrial potentials.

Presently, Russian sphere of influence in Ukraine ends at the Donetsk front line. The Novorossiya project was abandoned, and the Kremlin officials and propagandists explained on many occasions that they had to give up Ukraine in order to avoid World War 3. It’s interesting that, on the other hand, Russia sent its troops to Syria to help President Bashar Assad fight the Western backed proxies, without any fears of the World War 3.

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